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* Fear Real Estate *
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Thanks to patrick.net, I'm scared out of my wits of buying real estate in the short term...here's a nice quote on MSNBC of why:

"If you're searching for a catalyst, you don't need to look any farther than the hybrid ARMs. According to Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM), in 2006, the teaser rates disappeared on about $300 billion worth of mortgages. But in each of 2007 and 2008, $1 trillion in mortgages will reset -- roughly 12% of all mortgages each year. Furthermore, borrowers have to adjust to more than just the loss of the teaser rates. Market rates are higher as well. Some borrowers could see interest rate increases of 4%-5%, causing a huge spike in their monthly mortgage payments.

The results could be catastrophic. The virtuous cycle that pushed up housing prices and allowed consumers to increase leverage and spending on the way up could turn into a vicious cycle on the way down. A housing crash could hurt the entire economy, and not just through job losses. If 5%-10% of consumer spending is a direct result of people borrowing equity in their homes, that money could quickly dry up."

Holy CRAP! 12% of the mortgages in 2007 and 2008 will reset?!? With prices dropping and mortgages resetting, many who will try to refinance will be out of luck. Get your down payments ready, lady and gents....it's time to go fishing.

Profit From the Housing Bust - Motley Fool - MSNBC.com

UPDATE: One more scary stat:

Almost 60% of all new home purchases in the past decade were made using more than 80% financing and at least 40% of the ten trillion in outstanding mortgage debt involved stated income-stated asset loans or 100% financing using option ARM loans – loans that don’t amortize but carry negative amortization clauses in the note.

American Chronicle












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